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Dila Gori vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Dila Gori

PPG 1.17 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Dinamo Tbilisi

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.4%0-117.3%0-27.4%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-112.8%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.6%2-14.8%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.2%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% 47.6% 2.10 -36.6%

Draw 34.8% 34.5% 2.90 +0.9%

Away win 35.0% 30.8% 3.25 +13.8%

Over 2.5 35.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%

Over 3.5 7.8% 26.7% 3.74 -42.5%

BTTS 46.2% 52.4% 1.91 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 35% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 20.4%

#2 0–1 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 15.1%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dila Gori0.7

Dinamo Tbilisi0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DILA GORI · PPG 1.17

DINAMO TBILISI · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Dila Gori (H) 30.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -36.6%

Draw 34.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +0.9%

Dinamo Tbilisi (A) 35.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dila Gori face Dinamo Tbilisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dila Gori a 30% chance, the draw 35% and Dinamo Tbilisi 35%, so Dinamo Tbilisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Dila Gori and 0.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dila Gori are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 2.00 for Dinamo Tbilisi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Dila Gori vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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