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China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 13 Guzhenkou University Sports Center· Qingdao Tuesday, May 19, 2026 12:00
Qingdao West C. logo Qingdao West C. PPG 1.40
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Beijing Guoan logo Beijing Guoan PPG 1.33
Home· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.4%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +9.4%
Draw 27.4%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -1.6%
Away 42.2%
Odds: 1.89 EV: -20.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.5% Odds: 1.75 -16.9%
Over 3.5 22.0% Odds: 2.90 -21.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.65 -14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Qingdao West C.
1.05
Beijing Guoan
1.34

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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