Today / China - Super League / Tianjin JT vs Henan SL

Tianjin JT vs Henan SL Prediction— China - Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Tuesday, May 19, 2026, 11:35

Tianjin JT

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Henan SL

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-111.0%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.0%1-113.3%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.8%2-18.0%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.2% 35.7% 2.80 +18.2%

Draw 30.3% 32.8% 3.05 -7.6%

Away win 27.5% 40.8% 2.45 -19.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Over 3.5 18.7% 26.7% 3.75 -17.9%

BTTS 51.5% 56.5% 1.77 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.5%

H 42% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin JT1.2

Henan SL1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN JT · PPG 0.50

HENAN SL · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin JT (H) 42.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +18.2%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -7.6%

Henan SL (A) 27.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin JT face Henan SL in China - Super League on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin JT a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Henan SL 28%, so Tianjin JT are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tianjin JT and 1.0 for Henan SL (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin JT are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Henan SL. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Tianjin JT vs Henan SL Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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