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All Boys vs Deportivo Moron Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 23:00

All Boys

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Moron

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-118.9%0-29.0%0-32.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-112.6%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-04.4%2-14.2%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-10.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 37.0% 2.70 -14.5%

Draw 34.3% 40.0% 2.50 -14.2%

Away win 37.5% 33.3% 3.00 +12.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 27.8% 3.60 +26.0%

Over 3.5 8.0% 11.1% 9.00 -16.8%

BTTS 46.2% 39.2% 2.55 +17.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.2%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.9%

#2 0–1 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0✓ 13.2%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys0.7

Deportivo Moron0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.67

DEPORTIVO MORON · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 28.1%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -14.5%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.2%

Deportivo Moron (A) 37.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face Deportivo Moron in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Moron 38%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for All Boys and 0.9 for Deportivo Moron (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Deportivo Moron. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.0%. This match finished 1-0.

All Boys vs Deportivo Moron Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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