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Brazil - Serie B logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 9 Moisés Lucarelli· Campinas Monday, May 18, 2026 22:00
Ponte Preta logo Ponte Preta PPG 1.00
1-4 MISS
Londrina logo Londrina PPG 0.75
Away· +22.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.8%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -21.2%
Draw 28.6%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -7.7%
Away 35.6%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +22.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.40 +10.9%
Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 4.75 -5.6%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.00 +3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ponte Preta
1.13
Londrina
1.13

Model Suggestion

BTTS +3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+22.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 58%
BTTS/No 40%
Score Hit 55%
ROI 59.3%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

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