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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 11 Regional Sports Centre· Waterford Monday, May 18, 2026 18:45
Waterford logo Waterford PPG 0.75
2-1 HIT CS3
Drogheda Utd logo Drogheda Utd PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +18.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.2%
Odds: 2.72 EV: -12.4%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -8.0%
Away 42.7%
Odds: 2.44 EV: +4.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.83 +12.4%
Over 3.5 38.2% Odds: 3.10 +18.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.62 -3.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Waterford
1.35
Drogheda Utd
1.78

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +12.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+18.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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