Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Ireland - Premier Division
Regular Season - 11
Regional Sports Centre· Waterford
Monday, May 18, 2026
18:45
Waterford
PPG 0.75
2-1
HIT CS3
Drogheda Utd
PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +18.4%
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
32.2%
Odds: 2.72
EV: -12.4%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -8.0%
Away
42.7%
Odds: 2.44
EV: +4.2%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.4%
Odds: 1.83
+12.4%
Over 3.5
38.2%
Odds: 3.10
+18.4%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.62
-3.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
2-1
✔
4th
0-2
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford
1.35
Drogheda Utd
1.78
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+12.4%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+18.4%)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)