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Oddevold vs Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 17:05

Oddevold

PPG 0.67 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Orebro

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-114.8%0-27.7%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.8%1-113.5%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.9%2-16.1%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.8%3-11.9%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% 52.6% 1.90 -40.0%

Draw 32.7% 28.2% 3.55 +16.1%

Away win 35.7% 26.0% 3.85 +37.4%

Over 2.5 35.5% 54.1% 1.85 -34.3%

Over 3.5 13.6% 32.3% 3.10 -34.7%

BTTS 48.6% 59.9% 1.67 -18.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.8%

#4 1–0 12.8%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oddevold0.9

Orebro1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.5% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODDEVOLD · PPG 0.67

OREBRO · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Oddevold (H) 31.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -40.0%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +16.1%

Orebro (A) 35.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +37.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oddevold face Orebro in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oddevold a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Orebro 36%, so Orebro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Oddevold and 1.0 for Orebro (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oddevold are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.67 for Orebro. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.4%. This match finished 4-1.

Oddevold vs Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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