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GIF Sundsvall vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 8 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 17:00

GIF Sundsvall

PPG 0.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Landskrona

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDD

// Model verdict

Away 50% chance

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+35.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-110.3%0-210.3%0-36.9%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.9%1-19.9%1-210.0%1-36.7%1-4+5.3%2 2-02.4%2-14.8%2-24.8%2-33.2%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.8%3-11.5%3-21.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.3% 32.3% 3.10 -33.4%

Draw 24.3% 29.9% 3.35 -11.2%

Away win 61.4% 45.5% 2.20 +35.1%

Over 2.5 59.1% 52.4% 1.91 +12.9%

Over 3.5 34.7% 30.3% 3.30 +14.5%

BTTS 52.9% 59.9% 1.67 -11.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob52.9%

A 61% / xG 1.0-2.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 0–2 10.3%

#3 1–2 10.0%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–3 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GIF Sundsvall1.0

Landskrona2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GIF SUNDSVALL · PPG 0.75

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.33

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

50%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

GIF Sundsvall (H) 14.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -33.4%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.2%

Landskrona (A) 61.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +35.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

GIF Sundsvall face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GIF Sundsvall a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Landskrona 61%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for GIF Sundsvall and 2.0 for Landskrona (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GIF Sundsvall are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.33 for Landskrona. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.1%. This match finished 2-1.

GIF Sundsvall vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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