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Chile - Primera B logo Chile flag Chile - Primera B Regular Season - 12 Estadio Carlos Dittborn· Arica Sunday, May 17, 2026 21:30
San Marcos logo San Marcos PPG 2.20
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Antofagasta logo Antofagasta PPG 1.33
Home· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.2%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +8.5%
Draw 27.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.6%
Away 24.5%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -17.7%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.95 -9.9%
Over 3.5 19.2% Odds: 3.45 -20.3%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.73 -14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

San Marcos
1.36
Antofagasta
0.89

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 40%
ROI 14.0%
Bet Hit 61% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=48.2%

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