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Chile - Primera B
Regular Season - 12
Estadio Carlos Dittborn· Arica
Sunday, May 17, 2026
21:30
San Marcos
PPG 2.20
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Antofagasta
PPG 1.33
Home· +8.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
48.2%
Odds: 2.25
EV: +8.5%
Draw
27.3%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -7.6%
Away
24.5%
Odds: 2.88
EV: -17.7%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.95
-9.9%
Over 3.5
19.2%
Odds: 3.45
-20.3%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.73
-14.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos
1.36
Antofagasta
0.89
Model Suggestion
No Bet
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 35 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
46%
O2.5/Under
57%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
40%
ROI
14.0%
Bet Hit
61%
(23 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=48.2%