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Brazil - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 21:30 
Bragantino PPG 1.43 
Vitoria PPG 0.43
Brazil - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 21:30 Bragantino PPG 1.432-0 HIT CS3
Vitoria PPG 0.43Away· +16.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 51.3% Odds: 2.00 +2.6%
Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: 3.55 -4.6%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.91 -1.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✔
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bragantino 1.59
Vitoria 1.00
Model Suggestion
BTTS -1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=50.9%