Vila Nova vs Avai Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 9 Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga· Goiânia Sunday, May 17, 2026 21:00

Vila Nova PPG 2.00

2-0 HIT CS5

Avai PPG 1.33

Away· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.8%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -9.8%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -3.9%

Away 26.3%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +0.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.00 -4.8%

Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: 3.55 -7.0%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.77 -7.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Vila Nova

1.43

Avai

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)