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Peru - Primera División Sunday, May 17, 2026 20:30 
Los Chankas PPG 2.57 
UCV Moquegua PPG 0.57
Peru - Primera División Sunday, May 17, 2026 20:30 Los Chankas PPG 2.571-0 HIT CS3
UCV Moquegua PPG 0.57Away· +42.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
Over 3.5 30.3% Odds: 2.75 -16.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.85 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✔
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Chankas 1.95
UCV Moquegua 0.83
Model Suggestion
Home -25.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -25.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+42.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+42.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=53.2%