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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes· Quilmes Sunday, May 17, 2026 20:00
Quilmes logo Quilmes PPG 1.80
0-1 HIT CS3
Tristan Suarez logo Tristan Suarez PPG 1.60
Draw· +8.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -23.2%
Draw 40.8%
Odds: 2.65 EV: +8.1%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -6.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 3.00 -13.6%
Over 3.5 4.6% Odds: 6.50 -42.1%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.30 -3.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Quilmes
0.71
Tristan Suarez
0.61

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.60)

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