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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti· Maipu Sunday, May 17, 2026 20:00
Deportivo Maipu logo Deportivo Maipu PPG 1.80
1-0 HIT CS3
Nueva Chicago logo Nueva Chicago PPG 1.67
Away· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.0%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -27.8%
Draw 35.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.3%
Away 26.9%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +9.9%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.60 -9.0%
Over 3.5 11.3% Odds: 5.00 -26.1%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.15 +4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Maipu
0.99
Nueva Chicago
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.67)

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