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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 40 Ibercaja Estadio· Zaragoza Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:15
Real Zaragoza logo Real Zaragoza PPG 0.95
1-3 MISS
Sporting Gijon logo Sporting Gijon PPG 0.84
Away· +65.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.4%
Odds: 1.76 EV: -39.5%
Draw 28.9%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +1.6%
Away 36.7%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +65.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.85 -14.5%
Over 3.5 18.2% Odds: 3.10 -26.2%
BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.73 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Zaragoza
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.18

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+65.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.95), Away POOR (0.84)

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