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Chile - Primera B
Regular Season - 12
Sunday, May 17, 2026
19:00
San Luis
PPG 2.20
4-1
MISS
Puerto Montt
PPG 1.40
Away· +10.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
35.9%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -19.2%
Draw
27.3%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -9.2%
Away
36.8%
Odds: 3.00
EV: +10.4%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 2.15
+2.3%
Over 3.5
24.8%
Odds: 3.95
-1.2%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.83
-3.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
San Luis
1.21
Puerto Montt
1.32
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-3.7%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+10.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=35.9%