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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 16 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos· Rio de Janeiro Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00
Botafogo logo Botafogo PPG 1.33
3-1 MISS
Corinthians logo Corinthians PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +15.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.1%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +6.0%
Draw 27.4%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.4%
Away 26.5%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -10.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.20 +15.7%
Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: 4.20 +6.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo
1.47
Corinthians
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +15.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+15.7%)

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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