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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 16
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos· Rio de Janeiro
Sunday, May 17, 2026
19:00
Botafogo
PPG 1.33
3-1
MISS
Corinthians
PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +15.7%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.1%
Odds: 2.30
EV: +6.0%
Draw
27.4%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -7.4%
Away
26.5%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -10.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 2.20
+15.7%
Over 3.5
26.5%
Odds: 4.20
+6.8%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.85
-2.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo
1.47
Corinthians
1.14
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+15.7%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Raw EV leader:
Over2.5(+15.7%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 63 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
49%
O2.5/Under
48%
BTTS/No
54%
Score Hit
49%
ROI
8.0%
Bet Hit
56%
(27 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)