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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 16
Arena Fonte Nova· Salvador
Sunday, May 17, 2026
19:00
Bahia
PPG 1.29
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Gremio
PPG 0.38
Away· +7.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
48.9%
Odds: 1.71
EV: -16.4%
Draw
26.9%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -0.3%
Away
24.2%
Odds: 4.65
EV: +7.5%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.85
-14.5%
Over 3.5
18.3%
Odds: 3.20
-24.9%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.77
-12.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia
1.37
Gremio
0.84
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs P(Home)=48.9%