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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 16 Arena Fonte Nova· Salvador Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00
Bahia logo Bahia PPG 1.29
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Gremio logo Gremio PPG 0.38
Away· +7.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.9%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -16.4%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -0.3%
Away 24.2%
Odds: 4.65 EV: +7.5%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.85 -14.5%
Over 3.5 18.3% Odds: 3.20 -24.9%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.77 -12.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Bahia
1.37
Gremio
0.84

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs P(Home)=48.9%

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