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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00
Patronato logo Patronato PPG 1.40
2-0 HIT CS5
Chacarita J. logo Chacarita J. PPG 0.40
Draw· +11.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.7%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -21.9%
Draw 40.7%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +11.9%
Away 24.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -10.5%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 2.62 -19.4%
Over 3.5 5.1% Odds: 5.50 -43.2%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.10 -12.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Patronato
0.74
Chacarita J.
0.64

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=34.7%

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