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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 14
Sunday, May 17, 2026
19:00
Patronato
PPG 1.40
2-0
HIT CS5
Chacarita J.
PPG 0.40
Draw· +11.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
34.7%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -21.9%
Draw
40.7%
Odds: 2.75
EV: +11.9%
Away
24.6%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -10.5%
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
25.8%
Odds: 2.62
-19.4%
Over 3.5
5.1%
Odds: 5.50
-43.2%
BTTS
41.8%
Odds: 2.10
-12.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
2-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato
0.74
Chacarita J.
0.64
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 99 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
76%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
74%
ROI
0.3%
Bet Hit
47%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=34.7%