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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 37 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore· Reggio Emilia Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:45
Sassuolo logo Sassuolo PPG 1.61
2-3 MISS
Lecce logo Lecce PPG 0.83
Home· +31.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.4%
Odds: 2.66 EV: +31.4%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -8.6%
Away 23.3%
Odds: 2.64 EV: -23.1%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.05 -5.3%
Over 3.5 14.7% Odds: 3.65 -27.8%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.77 -14.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo
1.30
Lecce
0.72

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away POOR (0.83)

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