Cagliari vs Torino Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 37 Unipol Domus· Cagliari Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:45

Cagliari PPG 1.22

2-1 HIT CS4

Torino PPG 0.94

Over2.5· +7.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.7%

Odds: 2.32 EV: +6.0%

Draw 28.1%

Odds: 2.96 EV: -10.1%

Away 26.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -7.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.25 +7.1%

Over 3.5 22.2% Odds: 4.20 -4.1%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.90 -2.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari

1.35

Torino

1.05

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+7.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -26.7%

Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away POOR (0.94)