Argentina - Primera NacionalRegular Season - 14Estadio 23 de Agosto· JujuySunday, May 17, 202618:30
Gimnasia JujuyPPG 2.67
1-0HIT MostLikelyScore
TemperleyPPG 1.14
Away· +19.1%✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home50.7%
Odds: 1.62EV: -17.9%
Draw28.2%
Odds: 3.10EV: -7.5%
Away21.1%
Odds: 6.25EV: +19.1%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.535.0%Odds: 2.70-5.5%
Over 3.512.2%Odds: 5.00-23.4%
BTTS46.2%Odds: 2.45+13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✔
2nd0-0✘
3rd1-1✘
4th2-0✘
5th0-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia Jujuy
1.27
Temperley
0.61
Model Suggestion
Home-17.9%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+19.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=50.7%