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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Estadio 23 de Agosto· Jujuy Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:30
Gimnasia Jujuy logo Gimnasia Jujuy PPG 2.67
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Temperley logo Temperley PPG 1.14
Away· +19.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.7%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -17.9%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.5%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +19.1%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.70 -5.5%
Over 3.5 12.2% Odds: 5.00 -23.4%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.45 +13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Gimnasia Jujuy
1.27
Temperley
0.61

Model Suggestion

Home -17.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=50.7%

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