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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 15
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco
Sunday, May 17, 2026
18:15
D. Garcilaso
PPG 2.00
2-0
HIT CS5
Cajamarca
PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +5.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
48.6%
Odds: 1.90
EV: -7.7%
Draw
25.8%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -8.1%
Away
25.6%
Odds: 4.10
EV: +3.0%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 2.00
+5.2%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Odds: 3.55
-0.8%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.80
-5.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Garcilaso
1.54
Cajamarca
1.13
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+5.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +5.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=48.6%