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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 15 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:15
D. Garcilaso logo D. Garcilaso PPG 2.00
2-0 HIT CS5
Cajamarca logo Cajamarca PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.6%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -7.7%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -8.1%
Away 25.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.00 +5.2%
Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 3.55 -0.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Garcilaso
1.54
Cajamarca
1.13

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +5.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +5.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=48.6%

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