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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Estadio Abel Sastre· Puerto Madryn Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:00
D. Madryn logo D. Madryn PPG 2.20
0-1 HIT CS4
Ferro Carril logo Ferro Carril PPG 2.00
Over2.5· +21.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -4.5%
Draw 30.5%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -11.6%
Away 26.0%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -7.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.62 +21.0%
Over 3.5 15.0% Odds: 5.50 -10.5%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.10 +2.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Madryn
1.14
Ferro Carril
0.90

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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