Istra vs Rijeka Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 35 Stadion Aldo Drosina· Pula Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:45

Istra PPG 1.29

0-0 HIT CS2

Rijeka PPG 1.18

Home· +38.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +38.2%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -2.1%

Away 37.9%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -31.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.95 -8.6%

Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 3.40 -18.2%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Istra

1.06

Rijeka

1.26

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+38.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.18)