ADT vs Comerciantes U. Prediction & Tips

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Peru - Primera División Apertura - 15 Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:00

ADT PPG 1.57

2-0 HIT CS5

Comerciantes U. PPG 0.83

Away· +22.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.7%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -21.8%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -1.1%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +22.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 2.00 -3.8%

Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: 3.55 -5.7%

BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.91 +0.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

ADT

1.47

Comerciantes U.

1.09

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+22.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.83)