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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 37
New Balance Arena· Bergamo
Sunday, May 17, 2026
16:00
Atalanta
PPG 1.83
0-1
MISS
Bologna
PPG 1.72
Draw· +7.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.3%
Odds: 1.68
EV: -20.5%
Draw
27.9%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +7.0%
Away
24.8%
Odds: 4.45
EV: +6.2%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.62
-25.2%
Over 3.5
18.7%
Odds: 2.55
-31.4%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.62
-20.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta
1.31
Bologna
0.92
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
53%
ROI
-26.7%
Bet Hit
40%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.72)