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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 35 Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas· Koprivnica Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Slaven Belupo logo Slaven Belupo PPG 1.71
1-4 MISS
Dinamo Zagreb logo Dinamo Zagreb PPG 2.24
Draw· -0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.8%
Odds: 6.50 EV: -6.2%
Draw 22.2%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -0.1%
Away 64.0%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -10.4%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: 2.20 -11.3%
BTTS 54.0% Odds: 1.62 -12.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Slaven Belupo
0.93
Dinamo Zagreb
2.30

Model Suggestion

Away -10.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -10.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.24) vs Home GOOD (1.71)

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