Zira vs Sumqayit Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 32 Zira Stadium· Zira Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00

Zira PPG 1.63

2-1 HIT CS5

Sumqayit PPG 1.31

Away· +16.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -22.9%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -4.2%

Away 25.6%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +16.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.3% Odds: 2.15 -0.4%

Over 3.5 19.9% Odds: 3.85 -14.0%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.95 +0.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Zira

1.32

Sumqayit

0.97

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)