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Sweden - Superettan Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00 
United Nordic PPG 3.00 
Falkenberg PPG 1.67
Sweden - Superettan Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00 United Nordic PPG 3.001-4 MISS
Falkenberg PPG 1.67Over3.5· +50.0% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.75 +11.8%
Over 3.5 52.1% Odds: 2.88 +50.0%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.60 0.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
United Nordic 2.29
Falkenberg 1.49
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +11.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+50.0%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+50.0%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.2%