St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 38 The SMISA Stadium· Paisley Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00

St. Mirren PPG 1.11

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Dundee Utd PPG 0.89

Away· +8.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -20.8%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -1.0%

Away 36.6%

Odds: 2.96 EV: +8.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 1.80 -15.9%

Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 3.00 -23.5%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.65 -14.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Mirren

1.08

Dundee Utd

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away POOR (0.89)