Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 38 The Home of the Set Fare Arena· Livingston Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00

Livingston PPG 0.65

1-4 MISS

Kilmarnock PPG 0.67

Home· +9.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.5%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +9.3%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -7.2%

Away 34.7%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -16.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.70 +1.0%

Over 3.5 36.8% Odds: 2.80 +3.0%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.57 -6.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston

1.59

Kilmarnock

1.47

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.65), Away POOR (0.67)