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Scotland - Premiership logo Scotland flag Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 38 Dens Park· Dundee Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00
Dundee FC logo Dundee FC PPG 1.56
3-2 MISS
Aberdeen logo Aberdeen PPG 0.78
Home· +10.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.9%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +10.2%
Draw 28.0%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.0%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 2.74 EV: -17.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: 1.80 -15.0%
Over 3.5 21.6% Odds: 3.00 -21.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.62 -16.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee FC
1.36
Aberdeen
1.02

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 1.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.78)

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