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Melaka vs Kuching Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

Melaka

PPG 1.27 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Kuching

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-117.0%0-215.1%0-38.9%0-4+5.9%1 1-05.5%1-19.7%1-28.6%1-35.1%1-4+3.4%2 2-01.6%2-12.8%2-22.5%2-31.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.1% 13.8% 7.25 -3.0%

Draw 26.4% 24.4% 4.10 +4.9%

Away win 60.5% 71.4% 1.40 -15.3%

Over 2.5 46.5% 59.9% 1.67 -22.4%

Over 3.5 20.9% 37.7% 2.65 -26.8%

BTTS 48.2% 55.6% 1.80 -13.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob48.2%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.0%

#2 0–2 15.1%

#3 1–1 9.7%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 0–3 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Melaka0.6

Kuching1.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MELAKA · PPG 1.27

KUCHING · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.27) vs Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Melaka (H) 13.1%

ODDS 7.25 · IMPLIED 13.8% EV -3.0%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +4.9%

Kuching (A) 60.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Melaka face Kuching in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Melaka a 13% chance, the draw 26% and Kuching 61%, so Kuching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Melaka and 1.8 for Kuching (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Melaka are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.73 for Kuching. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Melaka vs Kuching Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions