Today / Malaysia - Super League / Terengganu vs Imigresen

Terengganu vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Matchday 25 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 13:00

Terengganu logo
Terengganu
PPG 1.18 · HOME
LAST 5
DDLLW
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Imigresen logo
Imigresen
PPG 1.45 · AWAY
LAST 5
DWWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 70% chance

Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.3%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.9%1-18.8%1-26.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.2%3-16.3%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.3% 62.5% 1.60 -21.1%
Draw 25.6% 24.4% 4.10 +3.0%
Away win 25.1% 22.7% 4.40 +6.3%
Over 2.5 61.7% 75.2% 1.33 -17.9%
Over 3.5 47.4% 54.6% 1.83 -13.3%
BTTS 62.0% 73.5% 1.36 -15.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 35%
ROI -3.6%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.0%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%
#2 2–1 9.1%
#3 2–2 6.8%
#4 1–2 6.5%
#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terengganu2.1
Imigresen1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TERENGGANU · PPG 1.18

IMIGRESEN · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
Chance this pick lands
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

Terengganu (H) 49.3%
ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -21.1%
Draw 25.6%
ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +3.0%
Imigresen (A) 25.1%
ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Terengganu face Imigresen in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terengganu a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Imigresen 25%, so Terengganu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Terengganu and 1.5 for Imigresen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terengganu are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.45 for Imigresen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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