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Terengganu vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 13:00

Terengganu

PPG 1.18 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Imigresen

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.3%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-05.9%1-18.8%1-26.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.8%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.2%3-16.3%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.2%4+-23.9%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 62.5% 1.60 -21.1%

Draw 25.6% 24.4% 4.10 +3.0%

Away win 25.1% 22.7% 4.40 +6.3%

Over 2.5 61.7% 75.2% 1.33 -17.9%

Over 3.5 47.4% 54.6% 1.83 -13.3%

BTTS 62.0% 73.5% 1.36 -15.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.0%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terengganu2.1

Imigresen1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TERENGGANU · PPG 1.18

IMIGRESEN · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.18), Away AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

Terengganu (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -21.1%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +3.0%

Imigresen (A) 25.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Terengganu face Imigresen in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terengganu a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Imigresen 25%, so Terengganu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Terengganu and 1.5 for Imigresen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terengganu are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.45 for Imigresen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 1-3.

Terengganu vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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