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DPMM FC vs Sabah Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:15

DPMM FC

PPG 1.09 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sabah

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.4%0-24.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.5%1-18.3%1-27.7%1-34.8%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.6%3-14.9%3-24.6%3-32.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.6%4+-23.3%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 40.0% 2.50 -3.5%

Draw 25.8% 27.8% 3.60 -4.3%

Away win 35.7% 42.6% 2.35 -16.1%

Over 2.5 61.7% 69.0% 1.45 -10.5%

Over 3.5 51.5% 47.6% 2.10 +8.2%

BTTS 63.0% 73.5% 1.36 -14.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.0%

H 39% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DPMM FC1.9

Sabah1.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DPMM FC · PPG 1.09

SABAH · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.09), Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

DPMM FC (H) 38.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -3.5%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -4.3%

Sabah (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

DPMM FC face Sabah in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DPMM FC a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Sabah 36%, so DPMM FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for DPMM FC and 1.9 for Sabah (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DPMM FC are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 0.91 for Sabah. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 0-1.

DPMM FC vs Sabah Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions