Today / Malaysia - Super League / Kelantan DN vs Johor Darul

Kelantan DN vs Johor Darul Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Kelantan DN logo
Kelantan DN
PPG 0.73 · HOME
1 – 14
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Johor Darul logo
Johor Darul
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.73)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-12.7%0-26.5%0-310.6%0-4+50.1%1 1-00.2%1-10.9%1-22.3%1-33.7%1-4+17.5%2 2-00.0%2-10.2%2-20.4%2-30.6%2-4+3.1%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 10.0%
Draw 10.6%
Away win 79.3%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 76.0%
BTTS 45.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 38%
ROI -1.2%
Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 76%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-14
xG (home)0.3 xG (away)4.8 BTTS prob45.9%

A 79% / xG 0.3-4.8 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 12.8%
#2 0–5 12.3%
#3 0–3 10.6%
#4 0–2 6.5%
#5 1–4 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kelantan DN0.3
Johor Darul4.8

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 76.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KELANTAN DN · PPG 0.73

JOHOR DARUL · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Kelantan DN (H) 10.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 10.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Johor Darul (A) 79.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kelantan DN face Johor Darul in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kelantan DN a 10% chance, the draw 11% and Johor Darul 79%, so Johor Darul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Kelantan DN and 4.8 for Johor Darul (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kelantan DN are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 3.00 for Johor Darul. This match finished 1-14.

PredictVantage

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