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Sweden - Allsvenskan
Regular Season - 8
3Arena· Stockholm
Sunday, May 17, 2026
12:00
Hammarby
PPG 2.50
4-1
MISS
Malmo FF
PPG 1.75
Over3.5· +19.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
64.1%
Odds: 1.57
EV: +0.6%
Draw
21.4%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -7.4%
Away
14.6%
Odds: 5.10
EV: -15.3%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.62
+3.5%
Over 3.5
45.9%
Odds: 2.60
+19.3%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.62
-14.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
3-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hammarby
2.63
Malmo FF
0.84
Model Suggestion
Home
+0.6%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+19.3%)
League Track Record
↗
Based on 21 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
43%
O2.5/Under
76%
BTTS/No
71%
Score Hit
38%
ROI
0.8%
Bet Hit
57%
(14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away GOOD (1.75)