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Hoffenheim W vs RB Leipzig W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Hoffenheim W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

RB Leipzig W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.6%0-21.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.1%1-16.8%1-24.6%1-32.0%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.6%2-18.9%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.7%3-17.6%3-25.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-19.2%4+-26.1%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% 69.0% 1.45 -20.8%

Draw 23.1% 22.7% 4.40 +1.0%

Away win 22.3% 19.2% 5.20 +9.6%

Over 2.5 63.9% 70.4% 1.42 -9.3%

Over 3.5 55.1% 48.8% 2.05 +13.0%

BTTS 62.5% 66.7% 1.50 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 55% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 3–1 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoffenheim W2.6

RB Leipzig W1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HOFFENHEIM W · PPG 1.67

RB LEIPZIG W · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hoffenheim W (H) 54.6%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -20.8%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +1.0%

RB Leipzig W (A) 22.3%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoffenheim W face RB Leipzig W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoffenheim W a 55% chance, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig W 22%, so Hoffenheim W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Hoffenheim W and 1.3 for RB Leipzig W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoffenheim W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for RB Leipzig W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Hoffenheim W vs RB Leipzig W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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