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Deportivo vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Regular Season - 40 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Deportivo

PPG 1.84 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FC Andorra

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.3%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.8%1-112.3%1-27.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.1%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 26.7% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1✓ 9.1%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo1.5

FC Andorra1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO · PPG 1.84

FC ANDORRA · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.84) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo (H) 46.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Andorra (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo face FC Andorra in Spain - Segunda División on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo a 47% chance, the draw 27% and FC Andorra 26%, so Deportivo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Deportivo and 1.1 for FC Andorra (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 1.47 for FC Andorra. This match finished 2-1.

Deportivo vs FC Andorra Prediction— Spain - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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