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Podillya K. vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 11:00

Podillya K.

PPG 0.46 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.1%0-118.0%0-29.0%0-33.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.9%1-112.9%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.6%2-14.6%2-22.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 34.7% 2.88 -11.4%

Draw 34.3% 30.3% 3.30 +13.2%

Away win 37.6% 47.6% 2.10 -21.0%

Over 2.5 35.0% 43.3% 2.31 -19.1%

Over 3.5 9.4% 21.5% 4.65 -33.8%

BTTS 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.2%

D 34% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.1%

#2 0–1 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 12.9%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podillya K.0.7

Nyva Ternopil1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PODILLYA K. · PPG 0.46

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.08) vs Home POOR (0.46)

Win probability 1X2

Podillya K. (H) 28.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.4%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +13.2%

Nyva Ternopil (A) 37.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Podillya K. face Nyva Ternopil in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podillya K. a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Nyva Ternopil 38%, so Nyva Ternopil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Podillya K. and 1.0 for Nyva Ternopil (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podillya K. are averaging 0.46 points per game versus 1.08 for Nyva Ternopil. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Podillya K. vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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