← Back to picks 
Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 
Pisa PPG 0.56 
Napoli PPG 1.67
Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 Pisa PPG 0.560-3 MISS
Napoli PPG 1.67Draw· +17.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.75 -19.1%
Over 3.5 18.5% Odds: 2.88 -28.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.00 -2.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-1 ✘
2nd 0-2 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Pisa 0.66
Napoli 1.57
Model Suggestion
Away -21.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -21.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+17.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+17.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
UPSET_VALUE 63%
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.56)