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Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 
Juventus PPG 2.06 
Fiorentina PPG 1.00
Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 Juventus PPG 2.060-2 MISS
Fiorentina PPG 1.00Away· +50.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.60 -23.8%
Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: 2.45 -24.9%
BTTS 49.0% Odds: 1.93 -5.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventus 1.78
Fiorentina 0.70
Model Suggestion
Home -29.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -29.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+50.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+50.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=53.7%