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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 37 Stadio Luigi Ferraris· Genoa Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00
Genoa logo Genoa PPG 1.22
1-2 HIT CS5
AC Milan logo AC Milan PPG 1.94
Home· +17.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.1%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +17.6%
Draw 29.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +4.6%
Away 42.9%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -26.6%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.95 -9.9%
Over 3.5 16.8% Odds: 3.40 -25.7%
BTTS 48.9% Odds: 1.85 -9.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa
0.86
AC Milan
1.28

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.94) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)

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