Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 37
Stadio Luigi Ferraris· Genoa
Sunday, May 17, 2026
10:00
Genoa
PPG 1.22
1-2
HIT CS5
AC Milan
PPG 1.94
Home· +17.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.1%
Odds: 4.60
EV: +17.6%
Draw
29.1%
Odds: 3.70
EV: +4.6%
Away
42.9%
Odds: 1.71
EV: -26.6%
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.95
-9.9%
Over 3.5
16.8%
Odds: 3.40
-25.7%
BTTS
48.9%
Odds: 1.85
-9.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa
0.86
AC Milan
1.28
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
53%
ROI
-26.7%
Bet Hit
40%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.94) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)