Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Tips

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USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 15 Subaru Park· Chester Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30

Philadelphia PPG 0.40

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Columbus Crew PPG 0.57

Away· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.8%

Odds: 2.28 EV: -18.4%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -3.8%

Away 37.8%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +7.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%

Over 3.5 28.2% Odds: 2.80 -12.6%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Philadelphia

1.24

Columbus Crew

1.45

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.40), Away POOR (0.57)