Orlando City vs Atlanta Utd Prediction & Tips

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USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 15 Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30

Orlando City PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Atlanta Utd PPG 0.75

Over3.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.8%

Odds: 2.02 EV: -5.5%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -5.0%

Away 29.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -3.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%

Over 3.5 46.2% Odds: 2.25 +4.0%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.45 -9.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City

1.91

Atlanta Utd

1.59

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)