New York RB vs New York City Prediction & Tips

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USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 15 Sports Illustrated Stadium· Harrison Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30

New York RB PPG 1.67

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

New York City PPG 1.40

Over3.5· +16.3% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.8%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -13.0%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -8.1%

Away 41.5%

Odds: 2.52 EV: +4.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.55 -0.9%

Over 3.5 49.5% Odds: 2.35 +16.3%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.45 -9.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

New York RB

1.62

New York City

2.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)