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USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30 
New England PPG 2.57 
Minnesota Utd PPG 1.86
USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30 New England PPG 2.572-1 HIT CS2
Minnesota Utd PPG 1.86Home· +9.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.8% Odds: 1.70 +3.4%
Over 3.5 37.4% Odds: 2.80 +4.7%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
New England 2.00
Minnesota Utd 1.10
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +3.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+9.8%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+9.8%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.57) > Away GOOD (1.86)