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Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 16, 2026 22:00 
Fluminense PPG 2.38 
Sao Paulo PPG 1.00
Brazil - Serie A Saturday, May 16, 2026 22:00 Fluminense PPG 2.382-1 HIT CS3
Sao Paulo PPG 1.00Over2.5· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.00 +5.2%
Over 3.5 26.7% Odds: 3.60 -2.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense 1.50
Sao Paulo 1.11
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +5.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +5.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 63 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=47.9%