Cienciano vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Tips

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Peru - Primera División Apertura - 15 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Saturday, May 16, 2026 22:45

Cienciano PPG 2.71

0-1 HIT CS3

Alianza Lima PPG 2.00

Away· +21.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%

Odds: 2.14 EV: -24.5%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -3.8%

Away 36.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +21.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 18.7% Odds: 3.60 -19.6%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.77 -8.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cienciano

1.06

Alianza Lima

1.17

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.71) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)